含障碍物掘进巷道平均风速预测模型研究及验证

Research and Verification of the Prediction Model for Average Wind Speed in Tunnels with Obstacles

  • 摘要: 摘要:为解决掘进巷道内风流分布不均导致平均风速难以精准监测的问题,推动矿井智能通风发展,本研究提出了一种基于改进天鹰优化算法(IAO)优化的BP神经网络预测模型。首先,通过计算流体力学(CFD)数值模拟,系统获取了不同巷道尺寸、风筒尺寸及风量条件下的流场数据,构建了包含3032组样本的数据集。在此基础上,对比了支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)和BP神经网络三种算法的预测性能,确定BP神经网络为最优基础模型。为进一步提升预测精度与稳定性,引入并对比了多种元启发式优化算法,最终选用改进天鹰优化算法(IAO)对BP神经网络的权值与阈值进行优化,建立了IAO-BP预测模型。数值模拟验证结果表明,该模型的平均相对误差为5.11%,相对误差低于9%。现场试验验证结果表明,模型在两条实际掘进巷道中的平均相对误差分别为6.95%和7.52%。研究证明,IAO-BP神经网络模型能够根据巷道断面内单点风速准确、可靠地预测断面平均风速,为矿井通风系统的实时监测与智能调控提供了有效的技术工具。

     

    Abstract: Abstract:To address the challenge of accurately monitoring the average air velocity due to uneven airflow distribution in tunneling drives, and to advance the development of intelligent mine ventilation, this study proposes a BP neural network prediction model optimized by an Improved Aquila Optimizer (IAO). First, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) numerical simulations were employed to systematically obtain flow field data under various conditions of roadway dimensions, duct sizes, and air volumes, resulting in a dataset containing 3032 samples. Based on this dataset, the predictive performance of three algorithms—Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and the BP neural network—was compared, identifying the BP neural network as the optimal base model. To further enhance prediction accuracy and stability, multiple metaheuristic optimization algorithms were introduced and compared, ultimately selecting the Improved Aquila Optimizer (IAO) to optimize the weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, thereby establishing the IAO-BP prediction model. Validation results from numerical simulations show that the model achieved a mean relative error of 5.11%, with relative errors consistently below 9%. Field test validation results demonstrated that the model achieved mean relative errors of 6.95% and 7.52% in two actual tunneling roadways, respectively. The study confirms that the IAO-BP neural network model can accurately and reliably predict the average air velocity in a roadway cross-section based on a single-point wind speed measurement within that section, providing an effective technical tool for real-time monitoring and intelligent regulation of mine ventilation systems.

     

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