基于多源时序数据的煤矿入井人员风险预警研究

Risk early warning for underground coal mine personnel based on multi-source time series data

  • 摘要: 针对煤矿多变量时序数据非线性耦合强及空间异构性显著的问题,提出了一种融合多源时序数据的煤矿入井人员风险预警模型。采用基于同向双指针滑动窗口的多模态数据同步方法,结合卡尔曼滤波,引入延迟补偿机制提高插值精度,实现了不同采样频率信号的高精度时间对齐;构建十维特征向量,利用SHAP方法进行全局重要性与局部重要性分析,剔除冗余特征,实现了高效降维,在保证预测性能的同时显著提升了模型决策的可解释性与鲁棒性;引入多头优化注意力机制(MOA)捕捉多源信号的非线性依赖与潜在耦合特征,构建MOA−Transformer模型,利用Transformer编码器结构进行特征工程等级预警分类,再通过MOA构建分类的特征表示。现场实测结果表明,该模型在准确率、精确率、召回率、F1分数等指标上显著优于循环神经网络、卷积神经网络等模型,在少量异常事件的条件下亦具备较高检出率与低误报率,为煤矿入井人员风险识别与分级预警提供了可行的技术路径。

     

    Abstract: To address the problems of strong nonlinear coupling and significant spatial heterogeneity in multivariate time series data from coal mines, a risk early warning model for underground coal mine personnel integrating multi-source time series data was proposed. A multimodal data synchronization method based on a co-directional dual-pointer sliding window was adopted. Combined with Kalman filtering, a delay compensation mechanism was introduced to improve interpolation accuracy, thereby achieving high-precision time alignment of signals with different sampling frequencies. A ten-dimensional feature vector was constructed, and the SHAP method was utilized for global and local importance analysis to eliminate redundant features, achieving efficient dimensionality reduction. This significantly improved the interpretability and robustness of model decision-making while maintaining prediction performance. The Mixture of Attention Heads (MOA) mechanism was incorporated to capture the nonlinear dependencies and potential coupling features of multi-source signals. The MOA-Transformer model was constructed, where the Transformer encoder structure was used for feature-engineering-based risk level classification. The MOA was then employed to construct feature representations for classification. Field test results showed that the proposed model outperformed models such as recurrent neural networks and convolutional neural networks in terms of accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. It could achieve high detection rates and low false alarm rates under conditions of few abnormal events, providing a feasible technical approach for risk identification and graded early warning for underground coal mine personnel.

     

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